Sunday, April 22, 2012

This is a partial excerpt from my book, "The American Dream Becomes the Global Nightmare." http://tinyurl.com/4s3exmd

When the housing market began falling, I shared my plan with many people. Part of that plan was, instead of bailing out the Banksters and their accessories on Wall Street, we could have distributed that $800 billion to the investors, who actually owned the loans. In exchange, they would agree to reduce the interest rates to a manageable 5% per annum. In real estate terms, this is known as "buying down the loan."

This would have reduced the number of foreclosures because fewer people would have been hit by the increase in payments when the interest rates adjusted under the terms of the loan. The "bailout" required on each loan, which would have been minimal, would be added to the balance of the loan.

I have heard all arguments from people at the time I made that suggestion. That wouldn’t be fair to those who were more careful in their purchase or put more money down, or that they did not want to help pay for the idiots who accepted these loan ters, and who were not deserving of owning a house anyway. "Why should they be helped, since they did it the wrong way?" I was asked.

The reality is that those people, who did not want to help those who had been taken advantage of or got caught in the lenders’ predatory lending scheme, have suffered just as much, if not more, with their lost equity and, in many cases, lost jobs. Let’s take a look at an analysis of who really lost when the prices started dropping and no one wanted to “bail-out” the buyers who made bad decisions. The scenario is that two people bought identical homes in the same neighborhood at a price of $500,000.00. Buyer A, whose credit was marginal and could only get a sub-prime loan, put nothing down and had 2 mortgages; one for 80% of the price and one for the remaining 20% of the price. Buyer B, whose credit was excellent and was able to make a 20% down payment, had only one mortgage at 80% loan to value.

The chart below demonstrates that those who didn’t want to “bail out” the irresponsible homebuyers were the ones who were hurt the most. By resisting the help to those who were irresponsible, they took their own equity and threw it away without even realizing it.

                                             Buyer A                Buyer B
Purchase Price - 2006       $500,000.00          $500,000.00
Down Payment                            $0.00          $100,000.00
1st Loan                            $400,000.00          $400,000.00
Interest Rate         2.9% pmt, 6.5% actual       5.5% fixed
Monthly Payment                 $1,664.92              $2,271.16
2nd Loan                           $100,000.00                    $0.00
Interest Rate               6.5%, Interest only
Payment                                   $541.67                     None

Present Value                     $375000.00           $375000.00
Out of Pocket Loss                   Nothing          $100,000.00

The big loser is the guy who was responsible, and put down 20% and had a fixed loan. He, in most cases, was the one who was most vocal against those who had been irresponsible, and took on more than they could handle or didn’t pay attention to the terms of what he was signing. The lenders took Buyer B’s $100,000.00 down payment; while the irresponsible Buyer B only lost the place that he was living in on the lender’s investment.

No one, including the banks and the government, took the time to look at the BIG picture.